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Machine translation
1. (WO2006091687) PREDICTING RISK AND RETURN FOR A PORTFOLIO OF ENTERTAINMENT PROJECTS
Latest bibliographic data on file with the International Bureau   

Pub. No.:    WO/2006/091687    International Application No.:    PCT/US2006/006324
Publication Date: 31.08.2006 International Filing Date: 22.02.2006
IPC:
G06Q 40/00 (2006.01)
Applicants: PROCINEA [US/US]; 433 Golden Gate Avenue, Belvedere, California 94920 (US) (For All Designated States Except US).
RYLES, Scott [US/US]; (US) (For US Only).
BALSON, William, E. [US/US]; (US) (For US Only).
RAUSSEER, Gordon [US/US]; (US) (For US Only).
COHEN, Mouli [US/US]; (US) (For US Only).
FERRARI, Mark, J. [US/US]; (US) (For US Only).
RUDD, Andrew [GB/US]; (US) (For US Only).
CAO, Adam [US/US]; (US) (For US Only).
JUNG, Paul [US/US]; (US) (For US Only)
Inventors: RYLES, Scott; (US).
BALSON, William, E.; (US).
RAUSSEER, Gordon; (US).
COHEN, Mouli; (US).
FERRARI, Mark, J.; (US).
RUDD, Andrew; (US).
CAO, Adam; (US).
JUNG, Paul; (US)
Agent: FARN, Michael, W.; FENWICK & WEST LLP, SILICON VALLEY CENTER, 801 California Street, Mountain View, California 94041 (US)
Priority Data:
11/063,376 22.02.2005 US
11/359,636 21.02.2006 US
Title (EN) PREDICTING RISK AND RETURN FOR A PORTFOLIO OF ENTERTAINMENT PROJECTS
(FR) PREVISION DES RISQUES ET BENEFICES POUR PORTEFEUILLE DE PROJETS DE LOISIRS
Abstract: front page image
(EN)A portfolio of entertainment projects is selected such that the risk and return available to investors is attractive compared to other investments. Risk and return for a portfolio of entertainment projects is predicted based on the historical performance of past 'similar' projects. In one implementation, characteristics that are predictive of a project's revenue are determined by performing a cluster analysis of historical revenues from past projects. Projects in the portfolio are classified into various segments based on these predictive characteristics. Projects are selected to contract a portfolio. The risk and return for the portfolio is calculated according to a risk-return model that is based on historical risk and revenue for past projects in the same segment and further based on historical covariance of revenue for past projects in different segments.
(FR)La présente invention concerne un procédé permettant de sélectionner les portefeuilles 'loisirs' de façon à rendre les prévisions de risques et bénéfices attrayants pour les investisseurs par rapport à d'autres investissements. Pour ces prévisions, on se base sur l'historique des rendements de projets semblables. Un mode de réalisation consiste à déterminer des caractéristiques annonciatrices des retours sur investissements d'un projet. A cet effet, on réalise une analyse groupée de l'historique des retours sur investissements des projets passés. On prend ensuite les projets du portefeuille et on les segmente sur la base de ces caractéristiques annonciatrices. La sélection des projets se fait de façon à constituer le portefeuille. Pour calculer les risques et bénéfices d'un portefeuille, on utilise un modèle risques-bénéfices qui se base sur l'historique des risques et bénéfices des projets passés du même segment, puis sur l'historique des covariances des bénéfices pour les projets passés de différents segments.
Designated States: AE, AG, AL, AM, AT, AU, AZ, BA, BB, BG, BR, BW, BY, BZ, CA, CH, CN, CO, CR, CU, CZ, DE, DK, DM, DZ, EC, EE, EG, ES, FI, GB, GD, GE, GH, GM, HR, HU, ID, IL, IN, IS, JP, KE, KG, KM, KN, KP, KR, KZ, LC, LK, LR, LS, LT, LU, LV, LY, MA, MD, MG, MK, MN, MW, MX, MZ, NA, NG, NI, NO, NZ, OM, PG, PH, PL, PT, RO, RU, SC, SD, SE, SG, SK, SL, SM, SY, TJ, TM, TN, TR, TT, TZ, UA, UG, US, UZ, VC, VN, YU, ZA, ZM, ZW.
African Regional Intellectual Property Organization (BW, GH, GM, KE, LS, MW, MZ, NA, SD, SL, SZ, TZ, UG, ZM, ZW)
Eurasian Patent Organization (AM, AZ, BY, KG, KZ, MD, RU, TJ, TM)
European Patent Office (AT, BE, BG, CH, CY, CZ, DE, DK, EE, ES, FI, FR, GB, GR, HU, IE, IS, IT, LT, LU, LV, MC, NL, PL, PT, RO, SE, SI, SK, TR)
African Intellectual Property Organization (BF, BJ, CF, CG, CI, CM, GA, GN, GQ, GW, ML, MR, NE, SN, TD, TG).
Publication Language: English (EN)
Filing Language: English (EN)